Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 20:05 • Orange Vélodrome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.67 (league 1.71) 0.23 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 1.8% 0.3%
best score tips
4 - 0
14.7%
5 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Angers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille 0 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.7% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.8% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarseilleAngers
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack81%19%
Defense69%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marseille Angers
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%40%67%40%0%22%
Draws0%0%0%40%25%33%
Loses0%60%33%20%75%44%

Form: Marseille: LWLWWWWWL • Angers: WLDDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Marseille Angers
HATHAT
GF total16622516
GF avg4.01.22.41.00.30.7
GA total4594812
GA avg1.01.01.00.82.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarseilleAngers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%56%78%
1.556%33%11%22%
2.544%0%0%11%
3.533%0%0%11%
4.522%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarseilleAngers
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricMarseilleAngers
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMarseilleAngers
Wins51
Draws02
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-32-0—
Biggest losses—2-10-25-0
Goals For6321
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricMarseilleAngers
Form75%25%
Att81%19%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h93%7%
Goals78%22%
Total81.0%19.0%

Advice: Winner : Marseille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ Betano
Draw7.26 @ 1xBet
Away13.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marseille = 4.67 (league 1.71), Angers = 0.23 (league 1.29)

Angers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille 0 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.7% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.8% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 1.8% · Away win 0.3%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1