Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.75) 0.98 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.4% 37.3% 56.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
0 - 1
31.0%
0 - 2
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 31.7% 31.0% 15.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2%
1 5.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzLens
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack16%37%
Defense32%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Lens
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%0%0%75%50%63%
Draws50%0%25%0%25%13%
Loses50%100%75%25%25%25%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLL • Lens: LWWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Metz Lens
HATHAT
GF total1458412
GF avg0.31.00.62.01.01.5
GA total51520347
GA avg1.33.82.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzLens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%88%63%75%
1.525%63%63%13%
2.50%63%25%0%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzLens
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricMetzLens
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMetzLens
Wins02
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-12-0
Goals For1232
Goals Against3512

Model comparison

MetricMetzLens
Form17%83%
Att30%70%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total29.2%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lens

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.36 @ 1xBet
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away1.79 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Unibet
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metz = 0.17 (league 1.75), Lens = 0.98 (league 1.33)

Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 31.7% 31.0% 15.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2%
1 5.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.4% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 56.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1