Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 20:05 • Stade de la Beaujoire
Match Finished
3 - 5
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.71) 1.01 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 33.4% 41.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 0
18.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 18.1% 18.3% 9.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.7% 12.8% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNantesMonaco
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack38%63%
Defense56%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nantes Monaco
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%80%25%56%
Draws25%40%33%20%25%22%
Loses50%40%44%0%50%22%

Form: Nantes: LLWLDDDLW • Monaco: WLWWWLDDW

League goals

Metric Nantes Monaco
HATHAT
GF total34714418
GF avg0.80.80.82.81.02.0
GA total55107613
GA avg1.31.01.11.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNantesMonaco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%78%89%89%
1.533%33%56%44%
2.50%0%33%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNantesMonaco
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricNantesMonaco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNantesMonaco
Wins13
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-25-21-2
Biggest losses0-21-0—3-1
Goals For2252
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricNantesMonaco
Form43%57%
Att38%63%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h25%75%
Goals31%69%
Total37.8%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monaco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Dafabet
Draw4.20 @ Unibet
Away1.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 1xBet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nantes = 0.70 (league 1.71), Monaco = 1.01 (league 1.29)

Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 18.1% 18.3% 9.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.7% 12.8% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 41.8%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1