Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 20:05 • Stade Jean Bouin
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.71) 1.81 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 22.0% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 2.8% 5.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.0% 9.0% 8.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis FCLyon
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack44%44%
Defense50%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris FC Lyon
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%20%33%80%50%67%
Draws0%20%11%0%0%0%
Loses50%60%56%20%50%33%

Form: Paris FC: LLWWLDWLL • Lyon: WWWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Paris FC Lyon
HATHAT
GF total86148513
GF avg2.01.21.61.61.31.4
GA total71017369
GA avg1.82.01.90.61.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis FCLyon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%100%44%
1.556%56%33%33%
2.511%22%11%22%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis FCLyon
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricParis FCLyon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricParis FCLyon
Wins23
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-1
Biggest losses2-35-21-23-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricParis FCLyon
Form31%69%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total44.4%55.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lyon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.14 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 1xBet
No2.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris FC = 1.75 (league 1.71), Lyon = 1.81 (league 1.29)

Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 2.8% 5.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.0% 9.0% 8.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 39.1%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1