Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 20:05 • Stadium de Toulouse
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
3.70 (league 1.74) 1.96 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.9% 13.3% 15.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
5.8%
3 - 2
5.6%
4 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.8% 5.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.7% 5.3% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
5 2.0% 3.9% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulouseRennes
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack67%75%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulouse Rennes
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins50%40%44%50%0%25%
Draws25%0%11%50%75%63%
Loses25%60%44%0%25%13%

Form: Toulouse: WWLLLDWWL • Rennes: WLDWDDDD

League goals

Metric Toulouse Rennes
HATHAT
GF total114156511
GF avg2.80.81.71.51.31.4
GA total85133912
GA avg2.01.01.40.82.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulouseRennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%75%75%
1.556%33%50%50%
2.522%11%13%13%
3.511%11%0%13%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulouseRennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricToulouseRennes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricToulouseRennes
Wins21
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-1—
Biggest losses3-62-1—4-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against6224

Model comparison

MetricToulouseRennes
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Toulouse or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 1xBet
Away3.55 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Toulouse = 3.70 (league 1.74), Rennes = 1.96 (league 1.33)

Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.8% 5.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.7% 5.3% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
5 2.0% 3.9% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1