Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 20:05 • Stadium de Toulouse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.76 (league 1.71) 2.01 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.0% 13.2% 15.5%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.6%
3 - 1
5.5%
4 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.2% 4.4% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
3 2.8% 5.5% 5.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
5 1.9% 3.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulouseRennes
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack50%44%
Defense69%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulouse Rennes
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%40%0%22%
Draws25%0%11%40%75%56%
Loses25%60%44%20%25%22%

Form: Toulouse: WWLLLDWWL • Rennes: WLDWDDDDL

League goals

Metric Toulouse Rennes
HATHAT
GF total114157512
GF avg2.80.81.71.41.31.3
GA total85135914
GA avg2.01.01.41.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulouseRennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%78%78%
1.556%33%44%56%
2.522%11%11%11%
3.511%11%0%11%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulouseRennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricToulouseRennes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricToulouseRennes
Wins21
Draws14
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-1—
Biggest losses3-62-11-24-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against6224

Model comparison

MetricToulouseRennes
Form64%36%
Att53%47%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : Toulouse or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ Dafabet
Draw3.68 @ 1xBet
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 1xBet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Toulouse = 3.76 (league 1.71), Rennes = 2.01 (league 1.29)

Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.2% 4.4% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
3 2.8% 5.5% 5.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
5 1.9% 3.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1