Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 20:05 • Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.71) 0.93 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 36.7% 45.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.7%
0 - 1
23.0%
1 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 24.7% 23.0% 10.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1%
1 11.6% 10.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuxerreMarseille
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack12%56%
Defense60%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auxerre Marseille
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%80%40%60%
Draws0%20%10%20%0%10%
Loses60%80%70%0%60%30%

Form: Auxerre: WLLLWLLDLL • Marseille: LWLWWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Auxerre Marseille
HATHAT
GF total43718624
GF avg0.80.60.73.61.22.4
GA total511166511
GA avg1.02.21.61.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuxerreMarseille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%70%
1.510%60%60%40%
2.50%20%40%0%
3.50%0%30%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuxerreMarseille
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricAuxerreMarseille
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAuxerreMarseille
Wins15
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—6-20-3
Biggest losses1-23-0—2-1
Goals For1263
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAuxerreMarseille
Form9%91%
Att18%82%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total31.5%68.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marseille

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.58 @ 1xBet
Draw4.11 @ 1xBet
Away1.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auxerre = 0.47 (league 1.71), Marseille = 0.93 (league 1.29)

Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 24.7% 23.0% 10.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1%
1 11.6% 10.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 36.7% · Away win 45.3%

Vtot 31 , Vtod1