Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 19:45 • Stade Francis-Le Blé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.70) 2.29 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 20.0% 48.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
1 3.2% 7.2% 8.3% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Brestois 29Lyon
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack50%90%
Defense30%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Lyon
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%80%40%60%
Draws40%20%30%0%20%10%
Loses40%60%50%20%40%30%

Form: Stade Brestois 29: DLLLWWDDLL • Lyon: WWWLWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Lyon
HATHAT
GF total86148816
GF avg1.61.21.41.61.61.6
GA total99183912
GA avg1.81.81.80.61.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Brestois 29Lyon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%100%50%
1.540%60%40%40%
2.530%40%20%30%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Brestois 29Lyon
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricStade Brestois 29Lyon
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricStade Brestois 29Lyon
Wins23
Draws20
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-11-23-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricStade Brestois 29Lyon
Form42%58%
Att36%64%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lyon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ 1xBet
Away2.33 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Brestois 29 = 1.69 (league 1.70), Lyon = 2.29 (league 1.26)

Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
1 3.2% 7.2% 8.3% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 48.4%

Vtot 40 , Vtod1