Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:15 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.71) 0.12 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.3% 11.2% 1.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
23.3%
1 - 0
20.0%
3 - 0
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 8.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.3% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.2% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLensLorient
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack50%58%
Defense58%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lens Lorient
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%40%60%40%0%20%
Draws0%20%10%40%20%30%
Loses20%40%30%20%80%50%

Form: Lens: LWWLWDWWWL • Lorient: LWLLDWLDLD

League goals

Metric Lens Lorient
HATHAT
GF total1041412113
GF avg2.00.81.42.40.21.3
GA total4610121022
GA avg0.81.21.02.42.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLensLorient
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%60%90%
1.560%20%30%50%
2.520%0%30%30%
3.50%0%10%20%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLensLorient
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score134044

Penalties

MetricLensLorient
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricLensLorient
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-0—
Biggest losses0-12-01-74-0
Goals For3241
Goals Against1274

Model comparison

MetricLensLorient
Form67%33%
Att46%54%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h85%15%
Goals73%27%
Total71.5%28.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lens or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ 1xBet
Draw4.52 @ 1xBet
Away5.99 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lens = 2.34 (league 1.71), Lorient = 0.12 (league 1.29)

Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 8.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.3% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.2% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.3% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 34 , Vtod1