Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:15 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.72) 0.37 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.5% 13.9% 4.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
15.7%
3 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Angers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 6.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.7% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLilleAngers
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack90%50%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lille Angers
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%40%50%40%0%20%
Draws20%20%20%40%40%40%
Loses20%40%30%20%60%40%

Form: Lille: DWWWLLDWWL • Angers: WLDDLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Lille Angers
HATHAT
GF total101222538
GF avg2.02.42.21.00.60.8
GA total491341014
GA avg0.81.81.30.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLilleAngers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%60%80%
1.550%30%20%30%
2.530%20%0%10%
3.520%0%0%10%
4.520%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLilleAngers
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricLilleAngers
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLilleAngers
Wins31
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-72-0—
Biggest losses0-13-00-25-0
Goals For6722
Goals Against1325

Model comparison

MetricLilleAngers
Form58%42%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Winner : Lille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw5.26 @ Pinnacle
Away8.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lille = 2.33 (league 1.72), Angers = 0.37 (league 1.30)

Angers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 6.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.7% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.5% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 4.4%

Vtot 25 , Vtod1