Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Louis II
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.71) 1.30 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 13.0% 11.3%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
7.2%
4 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.9% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonacoParis FC
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack40%32%
Defense64%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monaco Paris FC
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%40%60%40%20%30%
Draws20%20%20%20%20%20%
Loses0%40%20%40%60%50%

Form: Monaco: WLWWWLDDWW • Paris FC: LLWWLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Monaco Paris FC
HATHAT
GF total1492311617
GF avg2.81.82.32.21.21.7
GA total7916101020
GA avg1.41.81.62.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonacoParis FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%90%90%
1.560%50%60%60%
2.540%20%20%30%
3.520%0%0%10%
4.520%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonacoParis FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricMonacoParis FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricMonacoParis FC
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-23-52-01-2
Biggest losses—3-12-35-2
Goals For5532
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricMonacoParis FC
Form62%38%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Monaco or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 1xBet
Draw4.36 @ 1xBet
Away5.17 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monaco = 3.27 (league 1.71), Paris FC = 1.30 (league 1.29)

Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.9% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 11.3%

Vtot 48 , Vtod1