Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:15 • Stade de la Beaujoire
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.76) 1.50 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 16.3% 17.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 7.8% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.6% 5.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNantesMetz
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack28%12%
Defense60%48%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nantes Metz
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%20%0%10%
Draws20%40%30%40%0%20%
Loses60%40%50%40%100%70%

Form: Nantes: LLWLDDDLWL • Metz: LLLDLDLLLW

League goals

Metric Nantes Metz
HATHAT
GF total6410358
GF avg1.20.81.00.61.00.8
GA total1051552126
GA avg2.01.01.51.04.22.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNantesMetz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%80%50%80%
1.540%40%30%60%
2.510%10%0%60%
3.50%10%0%30%
4.50%10%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNantesMetz
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricNantesMetz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNantesMetz
Wins10
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-0—
Biggest losses3-51-00-36-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against5236

Model comparison

MetricNantesMetz
Form56%44%
Att70%30%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Nantes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 1xBet
Draw3.72 @ 1xBet
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nantes = 2.87 (league 1.76), Metz = 1.50 (league 1.33)

Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 7.8% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.6% 5.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 17.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2