Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 16:00 • Parc des Princes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.92 (league 1.71) 0.93 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.2% 13.2% 8.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.1%
3 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.2% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.4% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis Saint GermainNice
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack40%40%
Defense80%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris Saint Germain Nice
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins75%50%60%67%25%50%
Draws25%33%30%17%25%20%
Loses0%17%10%17%50%30%

Form: Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWD • Nice: LWLWLDDWWW

League goals

Metric Paris Saint Germain Nice
HATHAT
GF total8122010616
GF avg2.02.02.01.71.51.6
GA total36951015
GA avg0.81.00.90.82.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis Saint GermainNice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%50%90%80%
1.550%20%50%40%
2.530%20%20%20%
3.510%0%0%10%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis Saint GermainNice
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricParis Saint GermainNice
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricParis Saint GermainNice
Wins41
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-63-11-2
Biggest losses—1-00-14-1
Goals For3632
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricParis Saint GermainNice
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.21 @ 1xBet
Draw8.13 @ Pinnacle
Away15.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain = 2.92 (league 1.71), Nice = 0.93 (league 1.29)

Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.2% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.4% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 8.9%

Vtot 35 , Vtod1