Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:15 • Stadium de Toulouse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.04 (league 1.71) 1.24 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 14.2% 12.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Le Havre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulouseLe Havre
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack83%50%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulouse Le Havre
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%40%40%40%20%30%
Draws40%0%20%40%20%30%
Loses20%60%40%20%60%40%

Form: Toulouse: WWLLLDWWLD • Le Havre: LLWLDDDLWW

League goals

Metric Toulouse Le Havre
HATHAT
GF total134178412
GF avg2.60.81.71.60.81.2
GA total1051561016
GA avg2.01.01.51.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulouseLe Havre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%80%70%
1.560%40%30%40%
2.520%10%10%20%
3.510%10%0%10%
4.50%10%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulouseLe Havre
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricToulouseLe Havre
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricToulouseLe Havre
Wins21
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-10-1
Biggest losses3-62-11-26-2
Goals For4232
Goals Against6226

Model comparison

MetricToulouseLe Havre
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h60%40%
Goals73%27%
Total61.8%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Toulouse or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.86 @ 1xBet
Away5.17 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toulouse = 3.04 (league 1.71), Le Havre = 1.24 (league 1.29)

Le Havre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1