Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 19:45 • Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.71) 0.93 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 32.2% 33.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
14.5%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 15.5% 14.4% 6.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.8% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonParis Saint Germain
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack73%82%
Defense18%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins80%33%55%80%50%64%
Draws0%33%18%20%33%27%
Loses20%33%27%0%17%9%

Form: Lyon: WWWLWWLLWDD • Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDW

League goals

Metric Lyon Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total881691221
GF avg1.61.31.51.82.01.9
GA total3912369
GA avg0.61.51.10.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonParis Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%45%91%45%
1.536%36%45%18%
2.518%27%27%18%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonParis Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets336426
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricLyonParis Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLyonParis Saint Germain
Wins34
Draws02
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-03-6
Biggest losses1-23-1—1-0
Goals For3336
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricLyonParis Saint Germain
Form36%64%
Att47%53%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals27%73%
Total38.6%61.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.92 @ 1xBet
Draw4.05 @ Betano
Away1.77 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 0.93 (league 1.71), Paris Saint Germain = 0.93 (league 1.29)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 15.5% 14.4% 6.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.8% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 33.7%

Vtot 42 , Vtod1