Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:15 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.71) 0.93 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 33.9% 37.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
17.0%
1 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 18.3% 17.0% 7.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.1% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzNice
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack45%82%
Defense0%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Nice
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%67%20%45%
Draws40%0%18%17%20%18%
Loses40%83%64%17%60%36%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLLLWW • Nice: LWLWLDDWWWL

League goals

Metric Metz Nice
HATHAT
GF total371010616
GF avg0.61.20.91.71.21.5
GA total5212651116
GA avg1.03.52.40.82.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzNice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%82%82%
1.536%55%45%36%
2.50%55%18%18%
3.50%27%0%9%
4.50%18%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzNice
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricMetzNice
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMetzNice
Wins03
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-36-10-14-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against3624

Model comparison

MetricMetzNice
Form38%63%
Att36%64%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%63%
Total37.8%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nice

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ 1xBet
Away2.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.46 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metz = 0.77 (league 1.71), Nice = 0.93 (league 1.29)

Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 18.3% 17.0% 7.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.1% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 37.4%

Vtot 33 , Vtod1