Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 20:05 • Stade Louis II
Match Finished
1 - 4
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.71) 0.81 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 24.8% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 8.9% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.6% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.3% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonacoLens
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monaco Lens
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins67%40%55%83%40%64%
Draws17%20%18%0%20%9%
Loses17%40%27%17%40%27%

Form: Monaco: WLWWWLDDWWL • Lens: LWWLWDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Monaco Lens
HATHAT
GF total1492313417
GF avg2.31.82.12.20.81.5
GA total89174610
GA avg1.31.81.50.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonacoLens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%91%64%73%
1.555%45%64%18%
2.536%18%27%0%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.518%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonacoLens
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score112134

Penalties

MetricMonacoLens
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricMonacoLens
Wins33
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-23-53-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-12-0
Goals For5532
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricMonacoLens
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Monaco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 1xBet
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monaco = 1.61 (league 1.71), Lens = 0.81 (league 1.29)

Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 8.9% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.6% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.3% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 50 , Vtod1