Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:15 • Stade de la Meinau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.71) 0.74 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.6% 17.0% 10.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
10.9%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg 0 4.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 8.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStrasbourgLille
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack100%77%
Defense31%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Strasbourg Lille
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%33%55%67%40%55%
Draws0%17%9%17%20%18%
Loses20%50%36%17%40%27%

Form: Strasbourg: WWLWWLWDLWL • Lille: DWWWLLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Strasbourg Lille
HATHAT
GF total111122111223
GF avg2.21.82.01.82.42.1
GA total214164913
GA avg0.42.31.50.71.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStrasbourgLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%55%73%73%
1.545%55%45%27%
2.536%27%27%18%
3.59%9%18%0%
4.59%0%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStrasbourgLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets415213
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricStrasbourgLille
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricStrasbourgLille
Wins23
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-36-11-7
Biggest losses1-24-10-13-0
Goals For5367
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricStrasbourgLille
Form41%59%
Att57%43%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lille

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Strasbourg = 2.31 (league 1.71), Lille = 0.74 (league 1.29)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg 0 4.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 8.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 10.3%

Vtot 39 , Vtod1