Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:15 • Stade Francis-Le Blé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.70) 1.43 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 17.2% 18.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.9% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.5% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.5% 5.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Brestois 29Metz
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack15%35%
Defense50%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Metz
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%17%17%33%17%25%
Draws50%17%33%33%0%17%
Loses33%67%50%33%83%58%

Form: Stade Brestois 29: DLLLWWDDLLDL • Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Metz
HATHAT
GF total86145712
GF avg1.31.01.20.81.21.0
GA total9122162127
GA avg1.52.01.81.03.52.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Brestois 29Metz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%58%75%
1.533%58%42%50%
2.525%42%0%50%
3.58%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Brestois 29Metz
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricStade Brestois 29Metz
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricStade Brestois 29Metz
Wins20
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-36-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricStade Brestois 29Metz
Form18%82%
Att30%70%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : Stade Brestois 29 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away4.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Brestois 29 = 2.68 (league 1.70), Metz = 1.43 (league 1.26)

Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.9% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.5% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.5% 5.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 18.4%

Vtot 42 , Vtod1