Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 16:00 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.71) 0.98 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.4% 13.3% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
8.6%
3 - 0
8.4%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Strasbourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.8% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 8.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLensStrasbourg
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack61%56%
Defense72%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lens Strasbourg
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%50%67%83%33%58%
Draws0%17%8%0%17%8%
Loses17%33%25%17%50%33%

Form: Lens: LWWLWDWWWLWW • Strasbourg: WWLWWLWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Lens Strasbourg
HATHAT
GF total13821131124
GF avg2.21.31.82.21.82.0
GA total471121416
GA avg0.71.20.90.32.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLensStrasbourg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%100%50%
1.567%17%50%50%
2.533%0%33%25%
3.58%0%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLensStrasbourg
HATHAT
Clean sheets213516
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricLensStrasbourg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLensStrasbourg
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-45-02-3
Biggest losses0-12-01-24-1
Goals For3453
Goals Against1224

Model comparison

MetricLensStrasbourg
Form63%37%
Att52%48%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lens or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away3.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.32 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lens = 2.95 (league 1.71), Strasbourg = 0.98 (league 1.29)

Strasbourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.8% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 8.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.4% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 37 , Vtod1