Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:15 • Stade de la Beaujoire
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.71) 0.31 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.7% 29.2% 8.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.1%
0 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 20.3% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNantesLorient
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack30%25%
Defense45%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nantes Lorient
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%17%17%33%0%17%
Draws17%50%33%50%17%33%
Loses67%33%50%17%83%50%

Form: Nantes: LLWLDDDLWLLD • Lorient: LWLLDWLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Nantes Lorient
HATHAT
GF total651113114
GF avg1.00.80.92.20.21.2
GA total12618131326
GA avg2.01.01.52.22.22.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNantesLorient
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%58%92%
1.533%42%25%50%
2.58%8%25%33%
3.50%8%8%17%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNantesLorient
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score336055

Penalties

MetricNantesLorient
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNantesLorient
Wins11
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-0—
Biggest losses3-51-01-74-0
Goals For3241
Goals Against5274

Model comparison

MetricNantesLorient
Form57%43%
Att55%45%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Nantes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away2.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.89 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nantes = 1.28 (league 1.71), Lorient = 0.31 (league 1.29)

Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 20.3% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 8.9%

Vtot 49 , Vtod1