Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 18:00 • Roazhon Park
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.71) 1.39 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 22.4% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rennes 0 3.7% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.1% 9.9% 6.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRennesMonaco
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack56%44%
Defense61%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rennes Monaco
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins50%17%33%57%40%50%
Draws33%67%50%14%20%17%
Loses17%17%17%29%40%33%

Form: Rennes: WLDWDDDDLDWW • Monaco: WLWWWLDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Rennes Monaco
HATHAT
GF total1181915924
GF avg1.81.31.62.11.82.0
GA total6111712921
GA avg1.01.81.41.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRennesMonaco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%83%92%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.517%8%33%25%
3.58%8%17%8%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRennesMonaco
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricRennesMonaco
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricRennesMonaco
Wins13
Draws42
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-15-23-5
Biggest losses1-24-01-43-1
Goals For4255
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricRennesMonaco
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h20%80%
Goals43%57%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monaco

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rennes = 1.89 (league 1.71), Monaco = 1.39 (league 1.29)

Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rennes 0 3.7% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.1% 9.9% 6.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 32 , Vtod1