Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:15 • Stadium de Toulouse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.71) 0.66 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 16.5% 8.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 0
11.9%
3 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Angers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 5.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.9% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 9.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulouseAngers
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack35%35%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulouse Angers
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%50%0%25%
Draws50%17%33%33%33%33%
Loses17%50%33%17%67%42%

Form: Toulouse: WWLLLDWWLDDD • Angers: WLDDLLLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Toulouse Angers
HATHAT
GF total135187310
GF avg2.20.81.51.20.50.8
GA total1061641115
GA avg1.71.01.30.71.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulouseAngers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%58%75%
1.550%33%25%25%
2.517%8%0%8%
3.58%8%0%8%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulouseAngers
HATHAT
Clean sheets314303
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricToulouseAngers
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricToulouseAngers
Wins21
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-0—
Biggest losses3-62-10-25-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against6225

Model comparison

MetricToulouseAngers
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h85%15%
Goals77%23%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Toulouse or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ 1xBet
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Toulouse = 2.31 (league 1.71), Angers = 0.66 (league 1.29)

Angers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 5.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.9% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 9.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 8.9%

Vtot 30 , Vtod1