Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:15 • Stade Océane
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.70) 1.91 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 22.0% 44.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 3.0% 5.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
1 4.8% 9.2% 8.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.0% 3.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe HavreLille
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack21%79%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Havre Lille
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%71%33%54%
Draws50%29%38%14%17%15%
Loses17%57%38%14%50%31%

Form: Le Havre: LLWLDDDLWWDDL • Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Le Havre Lille
HATHAT
GF total9413151227
GF avg1.50.61.02.12.02.1
GA total7132061117
GA avg1.21.91.50.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe HavreLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%69%77%
1.523%38%46%38%
2.58%23%31%15%
3.50%8%23%0%
4.50%8%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe HavreLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score044134

Penalties

MetricLe HavreLille
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLe HavreLille
Wins23
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-16-11-7
Biggest losses1-26-20-13-0
Goals For3267
Goals Against2623

Model comparison

MetricLe HavreLille
Form47%53%
Att21%79%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.52 @ 1xBet
Draw3.81 @ 1xBet
Away1.88 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Le Havre = 1.59 (league 1.70), Lille = 1.91 (league 1.26)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 3.0% 5.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
1 4.8% 9.2% 8.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.0% 3.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 44.1%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1