Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 19:45 • Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.71) 0.62 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 34.2% 22.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 19.9% 12.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonNantes
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack47%47%
Defense53%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon Nantes
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%29%46%14%17%15%
Draws0%43%23%29%50%38%
Loses33%29%31%57%33%46%

Form: Lyon: WWWLWWLLWDDLD • Nantes: LLWLDDDLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Lyon Nantes
HATHAT
GF total108187512
GF avg1.71.11.41.00.80.9
GA total691513619
GA avg1.01.31.21.91.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonNantes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%46%54%85%
1.538%38%31%38%
2.515%31%8%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonNantes
HATHAT
Clean sheets347112
Failed to score022336

Penalties

MetricLyonNantes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLyonNantes
Wins31
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-11-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-13-51-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3352

Model comparison

MetricLyonNantes
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lyon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ 1xBet
Draw4.90 @ Betano
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.25 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 0.99 (league 1.71), Nantes = 0.62 (league 1.29)

Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 19.9% 12.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 22.3%

Vtot 23 , Vtod16