Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:45 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.71) 1.01 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 32.2% 38.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 15.8% 15.9% 8.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.3% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzRennes
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack64%86%
Defense29%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Rennes
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%57%17%38%
Draws33%0%15%29%67%46%
Loses33%86%62%14%17%15%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWWL • Rennes: WLDWDDDDLDWWW

League goals

Metric Metz Rennes
HATHAT
GF total591415823
GF avg0.81.31.12.11.31.8
GA total6243071118
GA avg1.03.42.31.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzRennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%77%85%77%
1.546%54%54%46%
2.50%54%23%8%
3.50%23%15%8%
4.50%15%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzRennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricMetzRennes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricMetzRennes
Wins31
Draws14
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-10-1
Biggest losses0-36-11-24-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against3624

Model comparison

MetricMetzRennes
Form47%53%
Att43%57%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total38.2%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rennes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.11 @ 1xBet
Away1.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.40 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metz = 0.84 (league 1.71), Rennes = 1.01 (league 1.29)

Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 15.8% 15.9% 8.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.3% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 38.3%

Vtot 41 , Vtod1