Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Jean Bouin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.64) 0.72 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.3% 15.9% 9.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 0
10.5%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Auxerre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 4.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis FCAuxerre
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack47%0%
Defense33%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.40 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris FC Auxerre
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%29%0%15%
Draws17%14%15%14%17%15%
Loses50%57%54%57%83%69%

Form: Paris FC: LLWWLDWLLDWLL • Auxerre: WLLLWLLDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Paris FC Auxerre
HATHAT
GF total11920437
GF avg1.81.31.50.60.50.5
GA total11142561319
GA avg1.82.01.90.92.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis FCAuxerre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%46%77%
1.554%54%8%54%
2.515%31%0%15%
3.50%15%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis FCAuxerre
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score112347

Penalties

MetricParis FCAuxerre
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricParis FCAuxerre
Wins21
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-21-0—
Biggest losses2-35-21-23-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricParis FCAuxerre
Form80%20%
Att100%0%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total53.4%46.6%

Advice: Double chance : Paris FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away4.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Paris FC = 2.42 (league 1.64), Auxerre = 0.72 (league 1.25)

Auxerre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 4.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 9.2%

vtt 21 , vtd1