Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:15 • Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.70) 0.92 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 29.4% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 11.9% 11.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuxerreMetz
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack9%73%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auxerre Metz
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%0%14%29%14%21%
Draws14%29%21%29%0%14%
Loses57%71%64%43%86%64%

Form: Auxerre: WLLLWLLDLLLLDD • Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Auxerre Metz
HATHAT
GF total4485914
GF avg0.60.60.60.71.31.0
GA total6142072431
GA avg0.92.01.41.03.42.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuxerreMetz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%79%57%79%
1.57%50%43%50%
2.50%14%0%50%
3.50%0%0%21%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuxerreMetz
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score347426

Penalties

MetricAuxerreMetz
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAuxerreMetz
Wins13
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-36-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against2336

Model comparison

MetricAuxerreMetz
Form18%82%
Att11%89%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h93%7%
Goals93%7%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Auxerre or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away3.95 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auxerre = 1.20 (league 1.70), Metz = 0.92 (league 1.27)

Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 11.9% 11.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 25 , Vtod1