Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Francis-Le Blé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.70) 2.16 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 20.0% 39.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 2
7.0%
2 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
1 3.0% 6.5% 7.0% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.2% 4.7% 5.0% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Brestois 29Monaco
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack36%57%
Defense50%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Monaco
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins29%29%29%63%33%50%
Draws43%14%29%13%17%14%
Loses29%57%43%25%50%36%

Form: Stade Brestois 29: DLLLWWDDLLDLWW • Monaco: WLWWWLDDWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Monaco
HATHAT
GF total11819161026
GF avg1.61.11.42.01.71.9
GA total111324121325
GA avg1.61.91.71.52.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Brestois 29Monaco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%79%86%86%
1.543%57%43%50%
2.529%36%29%29%
3.57%0%14%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Brestois 29Monaco
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score336112

Penalties

MetricStade Brestois 29Monaco
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricStade Brestois 29Monaco
Wins23
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-23-5
Biggest losses0-33-01-44-1
Goals For4355
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricStade Brestois 29Monaco
Form54%46%
Att38%62%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monaco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ 1xBet
Away2.07 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Brestois 29 = 2.07 (league 1.70), Monaco = 2.16 (league 1.26)

Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
1 3.0% 6.5% 7.0% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.2% 4.7% 5.0% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 39.4%

Vtot 38 , Vtod1