Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:15 • Stade Océane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.70) 1.13 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 25.4% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 7.0% 7.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.1% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe HavreParis FC
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack18%64%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Havre Paris FC
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%29%29%29%
Draws43%29%36%29%14%21%
Loses29%57%43%43%57%50%

Form: Le Havre: LLWLDDDLWWDDLL • Paris FC: LLWWLDWLLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Le Havre Paris FC
HATHAT
GF total941312921
GF avg1.30.60.91.71.31.5
GA total81321121426
GA avg1.11.91.51.72.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe HavreParis FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%86%86%
1.521%36%50%50%
2.57%21%14%29%
3.50%7%0%14%
4.50%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe HavreParis FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets134112
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricLe HavreParis FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLe HavreParis FC
Wins22
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-01-2
Biggest losses1-26-22-35-2
Goals For3232
Goals Against2635

Model comparison

MetricLe HavreParis FC
Form50%50%
Att22%78%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h36%64%
Goals44%56%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paris FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.31 @ 1xBet
Away2.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Le Havre = 1.53 (league 1.70), Paris FC = 1.13 (league 1.27)

Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 7.0% 7.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.1% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 38 , Vtod1