Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:15 • Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Match Finished
3 - 4
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.68) 1.35 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 28.0% 47.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 11.0% 14.9% 10.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuxerreLille
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack22%39%
Defense72%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auxerre Lille
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%0%20%75%43%60%
Draws13%29%20%13%14%13%
Loses50%71%60%13%43%27%

Form: Auxerre: WLLLWLLDLLLLDDW • Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLWWW

League goals

Metric Auxerre Lille
HATHAT
GF total7411161329
GF avg0.90.60.72.01.91.9
GA total7142161117
GA avg0.92.01.40.81.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuxerreLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%80%73%67%
1.513%47%40%33%
2.57%13%27%13%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuxerreLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets303325
Failed to score347134

Penalties

MetricAuxerreLille
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAuxerreLille
Wins13
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—6-11-7
Biggest losses1-23-00-13-0
Goals For3267
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricAuxerreLille
Form29%71%
Att36%64%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away1.99 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auxerre = 0.86 (league 1.68), Lille = 1.35 (league 1.27)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 11.0% 14.9% 10.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 47.9%

vtt 29 , vtd1