Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.68) 0.43 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.4% 16.3% 6.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
16.3%
3 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Le Havre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 7.6% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.3% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonLe Havre
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack28%6%
Defense78%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon Le Havre
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%25%47%25%14%20%
Draws0%38%20%50%29%40%
Loses29%38%33%25%57%40%

Form: Lyon: WWWLWWLLWDDLDWL • Le Havre: LLWLDDDLWWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Lyon Le Havre
HATHAT
GF total138219413
GF avg1.91.01.41.10.60.9
GA total6101681321
GA avg0.91.31.11.01.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonLe Havre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%47%60%67%
1.540%33%20%33%
2.520%27%7%20%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonLe Havre
HATHAT
Clean sheets448235
Failed to score033246

Penalties

MetricLyonLe Havre
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLyonLe Havre
Wins32
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-10-1
Biggest losses2-33-11-26-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against3326

Model comparison

MetricLyonLe Havre
Form63%38%
Att83%17%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h64%36%
Goals64%36%
Total68.7%31.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lyon or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away5.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 2.15 (league 1.68), Le Havre = 0.43 (league 1.27)

Le Havre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 7.6% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.3% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.4% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 6.0%

vtt 26 , vtd1