Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:15 • Stade de la Meinau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.68) 0.14 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.2% 10.9% 1.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
22.7%
1 - 0
19.0%
3 - 0
18.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg 0 8.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.1% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStrasbourgLorient
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack22%33%
Defense56%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Strasbourg Lorient
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%25%47%50%0%27%
Draws0%13%7%38%29%33%
Loses29%63%47%13%71%40%

Form: Strasbourg: WWLWWLWDLWLWLLL • Lorient: LWLLDWLDLDLDDWW

League goals

Metric Strasbourg Lorient
HATHAT
GF total14112517219
GF avg2.01.41.72.10.31.3
GA total41620141428
GA avg0.62.01.31.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStrasbourgLorient
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%60%67%87%
1.540%47%27%40%
2.527%20%27%27%
3.57%7%7%13%
4.57%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStrasbourgLorient
HATHAT
Clean sheets516202
Failed to score022055

Penalties

MetricStrasbourgLorient
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricStrasbourgLorient
Wins21
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-34-0—
Biggest losses1-24-11-74-0
Goals For5341
Goals Against2474

Model comparison

MetricStrasbourgLorient
Form27%73%
Att40%60%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lorient

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 1xBet
Draw3.86 @ 1xBet
Away4.72 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Strasbourg = 2.39 (league 1.68), Lorient = 0.14 (league 1.27)

Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg 0 8.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.1% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.2% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 1.4%

vtt 22 , vtd1