Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 16:15 • Stade Francis-Le Blé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.68) 0.66 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.5% 22.3% 13.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Auxerre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 8.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.4% 10.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.2% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Brestois 29Auxerre
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack54%54%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Auxerre
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins38%25%31%33%0%19%
Draws38%13%25%11%29%19%
Loses25%63%44%56%71%63%

Form: Stade Brestois 29: DLLLWWDDLLDLWWWL • Auxerre: WLLLWLLDLLLLDDWL

League goals

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Auxerre
HATHAT
GF total1292110414
GF avg1.51.11.31.10.60.9
GA total111627111425
GA avg1.42.01.71.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Brestois 29Auxerre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%56%81%
1.538%56%19%50%
2.525%38%13%19%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Brestois 29Auxerre
HATHAT
Clean sheets314303
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricStade Brestois 29Auxerre
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricStade Brestois 29Auxerre
Wins31
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-1—
Biggest losses0-33-03-43-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricStade Brestois 29Auxerre
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals45%55%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Stade Brestois 29 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away4.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stade Brestois 29 = 1.79 (league 1.68), Auxerre = 0.66 (league 1.27)

Auxerre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 8.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.4% 10.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.2% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 13.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1