Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 20:05 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.68) 0.69 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.5% 16.0% 9.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLilleRennes
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack77%69%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lille Rennes
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins75%50%63%63%25%44%
Draws13%13%13%25%50%38%
Loses13%38%25%13%25%19%

Form: Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLWWWW • Rennes: WLDWDDDDLDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Lille Rennes
HATHAT
GF total16173318927
GF avg2.02.12.12.31.11.7
GA total6142081624
GA avg0.81.81.31.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLilleRennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%81%75%
1.544%38%50%44%
2.531%19%25%13%
3.525%0%13%13%
4.513%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLilleRennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricLilleRennes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLilleRennes
Wins34
Draws14
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-74-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-01-25-0
Goals For6742
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricLilleRennes
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lille or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away4.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Betano
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.34 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lille = 2.38 (league 1.68), Rennes = 0.69 (league 1.27)

Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.5% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 9.0%

vtt 12 , vtd1