Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 16:00 • Stade Louis II
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.64) 1.20 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.8% 24.8% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 6.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.7% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.3% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonacoLyon
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack23%46%
Defense23%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monaco Lyon
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%25%44%75%25%50%
Draws13%13%13%0%38%19%
Loses25%63%44%25%38%31%

Form: Monaco: WLWWWLDDWWLLLWLL • Lyon: WWWLWWLLWDDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Monaco Lyon
HATHAT
GF total16102614822
GF avg2.01.31.61.81.01.4
GA total12152761016
GA avg1.51.91.70.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonacoLyon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%81%44%
1.538%44%38%31%
2.525%25%19%25%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonacoLyon
HATHAT
Clean sheets202549
Failed to score134033

Penalties

MetricMonacoLyon
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricMonacoLyon
Wins33
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-23-53-00-1
Biggest losses1-44-12-33-1
Goals For5533
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricMonacoLyon
Form30%70%
Att33%67%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lyon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 1xBet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.35 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Monaco = 1.59 (league 1.64), Lyon = 1.20 (league 1.25)

Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 6.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.7% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.3% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 28.7%

vtt 15 , vtd1