Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 19:45 • Parc des Princes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.68) 0.35 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.6% 11.4% 3.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.8%
3 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 5.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.8% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis Saint GermainParis FC
Played55
Form80%13%
Attack100%25%
Defense58%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris Saint Germain Paris FC
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins86%56%69%25%25%25%
Draws14%22%19%25%25%25%
Loses0%22%13%50%50%50%

Form: Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDWWWLWW • Paris FC: LLWWLDWLLDWLLDDL

League goals

Metric Paris Saint Germain Paris FC
HATHAT
GF total17183512921
GF avg2.42.02.21.51.11.3
GA total31114151429
GA avg0.41.20.91.91.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis Saint GermainParis FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%75%81%
1.556%25%44%50%
2.544%13%13%31%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.513%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis Saint GermainParis FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets628123
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricParis Saint GermainParis FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricParis Saint GermainParis FC
Wins42
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-03-62-01-2
Biggest losses—1-00-35-2
Goals For5632
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricParis Saint GermainParis FC
Form86%14%
Att82%18%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Winner : Paris Saint Germain

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ 1xBet
Draw9.00 @ 188Bet
Away24.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain = 2.58 (league 1.68), Paris FC = 0.35 (league 1.27)

Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 5.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.8% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.6% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 3.3%

vtt 7 , vtd1