Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 19:45 • Stadium de Toulouse
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.68) 1.65 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 24.3% 47.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 5.9% 9.7% 8.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.1% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulouseLens
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack64%100%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulouse Lens
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%38%38%88%63%75%
Draws38%25%31%0%13%6%
Loses25%38%31%13%25%19%

Form: Toulouse: WWLLLDWWLDDDLDWW • Lens: LWWLWDWWWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Toulouse Lens
HATHAT
GF total141024161228
GF avg1.81.31.52.01.51.8
GA total118194913
GA avg1.41.01.20.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulouseLens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%75%69%
1.550%31%69%13%
2.519%6%25%0%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulouseLens
HATHAT
Clean sheets426415
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricToulouseLens
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricToulouseLens
Wins23
Draws31
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-01-4
Biggest losses3-62-10-12-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against6212

Model comparison

MetricToulouseLens
Form35%65%
Att39%61%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lens

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away3.01 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.92 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toulouse = 1.18 (league 1.68), Lens = 1.65 (league 1.27)

Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 5.9% 9.7% 8.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.1% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 47.7%

vtt 26 , vtd1