Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 20:00 • Parc des Princes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.69) 0.82 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 15.3% 9.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.1% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis Saint GermainLille
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack93%71%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris Saint Germain Lille
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins88%56%71%67%50%59%
Draws13%22%18%11%13%12%
Loses0%22%12%22%38%29%

Form: Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDWWWLWWW • Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWL

League goals

Metric Paris Saint Germain Lille
HATHAT
GF total191837161733
GF avg2.42.02.21.82.11.9
GA total4111581422
GA avg0.51.20.90.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis Saint GermainLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%53%71%71%
1.559%24%41%41%
2.541%12%29%18%
3.512%0%24%0%
4.512%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis Saint GermainLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets628325
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricParis Saint GermainLille
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricParis Saint GermainLille
Wins44
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-03-66-11-7
Biggest losses—1-00-23-0
Goals For5667
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricParis Saint GermainLille
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ 1xBet
Draw6.40 @ Dafabet
Away10.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain = 2.56 (league 1.69), Lille = 0.82 (league 1.28)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.1% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 9.8%

vtt 3 , vtd2