Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 18:00 • Stadium de Toulouse
Match Finished
5 - 1
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.60) 1.24 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.2% 19.3% 19.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.7% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulouseNice
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack40%20%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulouse Nice
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins33%38%35%44%13%29%
Draws33%25%29%22%13%18%
Loses33%38%35%33%75%53%
ToulouseWWLLLDWWLDDDLDWWL
NiceLWLWLDDWWWLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Toulouse Nice
HATHAT
GF total14102412820
GF avg1.61.31.41.31.01.2
GA total14822121830
GA avg1.61.01.31.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulouseNice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%65%76%88%
1.547%35%29%47%
2.518%12%12%24%
3.56%6%0%12%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulouseNice
HATHAT
Clean sheets426202
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricToulouseNice
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricToulouseNice
Wins23
Draws32
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses3-62-11-54-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against6254

Model comparison

MetricToulouseNice
Form88%13%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total66.8%33.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.66 @ 1xBet
Away3.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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