Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:00 • Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.67) 1.89 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.0% 21.6% 62.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 6.9% 13.0% 12.3% 7.7% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.4% 10.2% 9.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuxerreParis Saint Germain
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack39%72%
Defense50%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auxerre Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%0%17%89%56%72%
Draws11%22%17%11%22%17%
Loses56%78%67%0%22%11%

Form: Auxerre: WLLLWLLDLLLLDDWLLL • Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDWWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Auxerre Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total10414221840
GF avg1.10.40.82.42.02.2
GA total11172841115
GA avg1.21.91.60.41.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuxerreParis Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%89%50%
1.517%50%61%22%
2.511%17%44%11%
3.50%6%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuxerreParis Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets303729
Failed to score369022

Penalties

MetricAuxerreParis Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricAuxerreParis Saint Germain
Wins14
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—5-03-6
Biggest losses3-43-0—1-0
Goals For3256
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricAuxerreParis Saint Germain
Form25%75%
Att35%65%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h7%93%
Goals14%86%
Total23.3%76.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.40 @ 1xBet
Draw6.15 @ Pinnacle
Away1.33 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auxerre = 0.79 (league 1.67), Paris Saint Germain = 1.89 (league 1.27)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 6.9% 13.0% 12.3% 7.7% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.4% 10.2% 9.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 62.1%

vtt 5 , vtd5