Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 16:15 • Stade Francis-Le Blé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.60) 1.22 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 28.7% 41.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.4% 6.6% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Brestois 29Toulouse
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack70%100%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Toulouse
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%22%33%40%38%39%
Draws33%11%22%30%25%28%
Loses22%67%44%30%38%33%
Stade Brestois 29DLLLWWDDLLDLWWWLWL
ToulouseWWLLLDWWLDDDLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Toulouse
HATHAT
GF total141024191029
GF avg1.61.11.31.91.31.6
GA total11182915823
GA avg1.22.01.61.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Brestois 29Toulouse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%72%72%67%
1.539%56%50%33%
2.522%33%22%11%
3.56%0%11%6%
4.50%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Brestois 29Toulouse
HATHAT
Clean sheets415426
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricStade Brestois 29Toulouse
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricStade Brestois 29Toulouse
Wins32
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-03-62-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against3362

Model comparison

MetricStade Brestois 29Toulouse
Form47%53%
Att39%61%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total52.7%47.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.77 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ Superbet
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League standings

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