Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 16:15 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.67) 1.23 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 30.2% 50.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 15.3% 18.9% 11.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.9% 12.2% 7.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzLyon
Played55
Form7%80%
Attack28%50%
Defense44%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Lyon
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins25%10%17%78%33%56%
Draws25%10%17%0%33%17%
Loses50%80%67%22%33%28%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWWLLLLDL • Lyon: WWWLWWLLWDDLDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Metz Lyon
HATHAT
GF total71219161127
GF avg0.91.21.11.81.21.5
GA total10304071118
GA avg1.33.02.20.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzLyon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%50%
1.539%56%44%28%
2.50%50%22%22%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzLyon
HATHAT
Clean sheets213549
Failed to score426033

Penalties

MetricMetzLyon
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricMetzLyon
Wins33
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-36-12-33-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricMetzLyon
Form8%92%
Att36%64%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total27.8%72.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lyon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.02 @ 1xBet
Draw4.06 @ 1xBet
Away1.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.17 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Metz = 0.65 (league 1.67), Lyon = 1.23 (league 1.27)

Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 15.3% 18.9% 11.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.9% 12.2% 7.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 50.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1