Sat, Jan 31 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade du Moustoir
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.59)
1.20 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.4% | 23.5% | 26.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Nantes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lorient | 0 | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lorient | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 41% | 35% |
| Defense | 88% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lorient | Nantes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 20% | 32% | 10% | 22% | 16% |
| Draws | 44% | 30% | 37% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
| Loses | 11% | 50% | 32% | 70% | 44% | 58% |
LorientLWLLDWLDLDLDDWWDDWW
NantesLLWLDDDLWLLDDLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Lorient | Nantes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 7 | 25 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lorient | Nantes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 79% | 63% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 32% | 26% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 21% | 5% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 11% | 0% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lorient | Nantes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lorient | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lorient | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lorient | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.58 @ 1xBet
Away4.42 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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