Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 19:45 • Stade de la Meinau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.64) 0.91 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 29.3% 27.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg 0 12.0% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.2% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack70%100%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Strasbourg Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins67%30%47%89%60%74%
Draws11%20%16%11%20%16%
Loses22%50%37%0%20%11%

Form: Strasbourg: WWLWWLWDLWLWLLLDDWW • Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDWWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Strasbourg Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total161632221941
GF avg1.81.61.72.41.92.2
GA total5182341115
GA avg0.61.81.20.41.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStrasbourgParis Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%63%89%47%
1.542%37%58%21%
2.526%16%42%11%
3.511%5%11%0%
4.55%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStrasbourgParis Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets6177310
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricStrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricStrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Wins24
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-45-03-6
Biggest losses1-24-1—1-0
Goals For5456
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricStrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Form35%65%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.33 @ 1xBet
Draw4.57 @ 1xBet
Away1.64 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Strasbourg = 1.21 (league 1.64), Paris Saint Germain = 0.91 (league 1.26)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg 0 12.0% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.2% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 27.5%

vtt 12 , vtd3