Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:15 • Stadium de Toulouse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.62) 0.48 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.0% 15.9% 6.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
14.9%
3 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Auxerre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 6.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.3% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulouseAuxerre
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack85%46%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulouse Auxerre
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins40%44%42%30%0%16%
Draws30%22%26%10%22%16%
Loses30%33%32%60%78%68%

Form: Toulouse: WWLLLDWWLDDDLDWWLWW • Auxerre: WLLLWLLDLLLLDDWLLLL

League goals

Metric Toulouse Auxerre
HATHAT
GF total19123110414
GF avg1.91.31.61.00.40.7
GA total15823121729
GA avg1.50.91.21.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulouseAuxerre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%63%47%84%
1.553%32%16%47%
2.521%11%11%16%
3.511%5%0%5%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulouseAuxerre
HATHAT
Clean sheets437303
Failed to score3254610

Penalties

MetricToulouseAuxerre
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricToulouseAuxerre
Wins21
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-33-1—
Biggest losses3-62-13-43-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against6243

Model comparison

MetricToulouseAuxerre
Form80%20%
Att65%35%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h62%38%
Goals71%29%
Total71.2%28.8%

Advice: Winner : Toulouse

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away5.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toulouse = 2.23 (league 1.62), Auxerre = 0.48 (league 1.26)

Auxerre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 6.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.3% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.0% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 6.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1