Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 16:00 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.62) 0.35 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.0% 14.9% 4.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.9%
1 - 0
17.0%
3 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 7.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 6.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.0% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLensRennes
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%75%
Defense63%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lens Rennes
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins90%60%75%50%30%40%
Draws0%10%5%30%40%35%
Loses10%30%20%20%30%25%

Form: Lens: LWWLWDWWWLWWWWWWWWLW • Rennes: WLDWDDDDLDWWWWLWWDLL

League goals

Metric Lens Rennes
HATHAT
GF total181634191130
GF avg1.81.61.71.91.11.5
GA total41216112031
GA avg0.41.20.81.12.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLensRennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%75%75%
1.560%15%45%45%
2.525%5%20%15%
3.55%0%10%15%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLensRennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets628235
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricLensRennes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLensRennes
Wins84
Draws14
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-44-10-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-25-0
Goals For3442
Goals Against1325

Model comparison

MetricLensRennes
Form63%37%
Att57%43%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lens or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ 1xBet
Draw4.50 @ 188Bet
Away6.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betano
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lens = 2.22 (league 1.62), Rennes = 0.35 (league 1.26)

Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 7.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 6.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.0% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.0% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 4.5%

vtt 7 , vtd1