Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:45 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.63) 2.30 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.8% 18.9% 61.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 3.3% 7.7% 8.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8%
1 3.7% 8.4% 9.7% 7.4% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.0% 4.7% 5.4% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzLille
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack67%56%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Lille
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins22%9%15%60%40%50%
Draws22%9%15%10%10%10%
Loses56%82%70%30%50%40%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWWLLLLDLLL • Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Metz Lille
HATHAT
GF total91221171734
GF avg1.01.11.11.71.71.7
GA total153146121830
GA avg1.72.82.31.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%65%75%
1.540%55%35%45%
2.50%50%25%25%
3.50%20%20%5%
4.50%15%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score437257

Penalties

MetricMetzLille
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMetzLille
Wins34
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-26-11-7
Biggest losses2-56-11-43-0
Goals For2267
Goals Against5643

Model comparison

MetricMetzLille
Form25%75%
Att55%45%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h15%85%
Goals28%72%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ Marathonbet
Away1.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metz = 1.10 (league 1.63), Lille = 2.30 (league 1.26)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 3.3% 7.7% 8.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8%
1 3.7% 8.4% 9.7% 7.4% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.0% 4.7% 5.4% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 61.2%

vtt 6 , vtd1