Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:45 •
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.60)
2.26 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.6% | 19.3% | 60.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lille | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metz | 0 | 3.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Metz | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 67% | 56% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Metz | Lille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 22% | 9% | 15% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Draws | 22% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 56% | 82% | 70% | 30% | 50% | 40% |
MetzLLLDLDLLLWWWLLLLDLLL
LilleDWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Metz | Lille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 15 | 31 | 46 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Metz | Lille | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 85% | 65% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 55% | 35% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 15% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Metz | Lille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Metz | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Metz | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 6-1 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Metz | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 28% | 72% |
| Total | 34.5% | 65.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ Marathonbet
Away1.56 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…