Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 20:05 •
Stade de la Beaujoire
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.60)
2.62 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 14.8% | 70.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 3
9.7%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Lyon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nantes | 0 | 3.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nantes | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 100% |
| Attack | 75% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nantes | Lyon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 10% | 20% | 15% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 20% | 30% | 25% | 0% | 30% | 15% |
| Loses | 70% | 50% | 60% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
NantesLLWLDDDLWLLDDLLLWLLL
LyonWWWLWWLLWDDLDWLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Nantes | Lyon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 21 | 15 | 36 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nantes | Lyon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 85% | 85% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 55% | 45% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 15% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nantes | Lyon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nantes | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nantes | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nantes | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 20.2% | 79.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.10 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.90 @ Betano
Away1.79 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…