Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 16:00 • Orange Vélodrome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.64) 1.32 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 15.0% 13.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Strasbourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille 0 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarseilleStrasbourg
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack63%56%
Defense25%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marseille Strasbourg
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins70%45%57%60%27%43%
Draws20%9%14%10%18%14%
Loses10%45%29%30%55%43%

Form: Marseille: LWLWWWWWLDWWWDLWLWWDL • Strasbourg: WWLWWLWDLWLWLLLDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Marseille Strasbourg
HATHAT
GF total271946171734
GF avg2.71.72.21.71.51.6
GA total11162772027
GA avg1.11.51.30.71.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarseilleStrasbourg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%86%67%
1.557%43%38%43%
2.538%5%24%14%
3.524%5%10%5%
4.519%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarseilleStrasbourg
HATHAT
Clean sheets426617
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricMarseilleStrasbourg
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricMarseilleStrasbourg
Wins52
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-55-01-4
Biggest losses0-25-01-24-1
Goals For6554
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricMarseilleStrasbourg
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Marseille or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away4.05 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marseille = 2.97 (league 1.64), Strasbourg = 1.32 (league 1.25)

Strasbourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille 0 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 13.9%

vtt 7 , vtd1